Danielle Smith Just Opened the Door to Something Much Bigger in Alberta

There's something very deep with a lot of these folks.And if that starts to spread in the digital world, in the social media world, what does that look like?

Did Daniel Smith just outsmart Mark Carney?Welcome back to Moose and Loose.My name's David.Today, something else is happening here.The referendum question that Daniel Smith is putting forward of should Alberta have a referendum on separating is doing something else that was not intended.Or was it?

We got Mark Carney going down to America.We got a bunch of stuff.Let's jump into this.Starting off with Carney going down to America.We've got this from CTV News.PM Carney to pitch Canada to CEOs, investors ahead of Kuzma review period.

Now, if you read the fine print here, what does it really say?Prime Minister Mark Carney's going to New York City, the same city that he helped Brookfield move their headquarters to from Toronto to New York.He's going to that city on Wednesday and Thursday to meet business leaders and try to court more investment, a running theme of time in his office.So what else does it say here?Says Carney will meet with unspecified CEOs, entrepreneurs and business leaders and money managers to pitch Canada as an investment destination.Was he meeting with Bruce Flatt of Brookfield Asset Management and Brookfield Corporation?

Somebody needs to tail this guy.So we know exactly where he goes in New York.Now this is interesting timing because he's doing well in the polls, but I'm not sure why.As we can see here for a new poll from Abacus Data, he's at 47 % versus 35 % for the Conservatives, 8 % for the NDP.Shreya Tease modeling this out, this would be plus 49 for the Liberals to 218 and only 96 seats for the Conservatives.So it's pretty bleak.

Looking further in this poll from Abacus Data, It says today, 47 % of Canadians say the country's headed in the right direction, while 39 % say it's in the wrong direction.And then the same Canadians here polled say the world is going 13 % in the right direction and 76 % in the wrong direction.And then America is 80 % in the wrong direction.But if you look deeper in this polling data, this is Carney's approval here.57 % approve.Only 28 % disapprove.

Like, this is crazy.We've got Daniel Smith playing 4D chess over here, it seems.She tried to get a deal with Justin Trudeau, put together this MOU, essentially the same thing she's doing with Carney.She did this with Justin Trudeau and he, well, he said no.

The deal that we signed in the MOU, that was basically hatched in the very first conversation I had with Justin Trudeau.And so that tells you - With Mark Carney, you mean?With Mark Carney, you mean?With Justin Trudeau, the MOU?When I called Justin Trudeau, I told him, I want to start a process where we can meet in the middle and we can work on emissions reduction to 2050.Will you work with me?

From the very first conversation that I had with Justin Trudeau.And he continued with bad policy after bad policy to go in the wrong direction.And I'm glad that the current prime minister has taken a very different approach.

I don't like that language she says, I'm glad the current prime minister, I get she's still trying to work a deal with him or whatever, but we know that's not going to happen.I mean, Carney might do it if it means getting in his carbon credit system and lock that in for Brookfield and himself.But we know full well that 14 members of his caucus don't like it, so he's not going to get the votes.I don't think the conservatives are going to vote to have a carbon tax on a pipeline and pathways project.Like that doesn't make sense either.Do they have the votes?

No, not unless the bloc support them and the bloc aren't going to support a pipeline.So that vote is not going to go forward.There's not enough NDP.to help them.So what exactly is going on then?Well, while Carney's busy kicking soccer balls around.

Yeah, it's just another one of these, you know, Carney busy at work.This guy loves sports.He should just be some sports CEO or whatever of one of these organizations.Well, why is he a prime minister?He clearly spends more of his time doing this than governing the country, just kicking soccer balls.Now, on the flip side, we've got quite the take coming from her here, because there's not a vote to separate.

There's a vote to vote on separation.And thus, this brings more time to build momentum of separation.This could absolutely backfire against Mark Carney.

support base is occupied by separatists.And I ask against the backdrop of these accusations leveled against the premier, and it's coming from a lot of different corners, butshe's essentially doing this to appease that faction.

Yeah, so I think the best data that I can work from would suggest that about half the UCP base in Alberta is on some spectrum between hard separatist and I'm really dissatisfied with the status quo and can maybe send a message to Ottawa by voting to leave, right?So this is a very significant faction of her base.And I think Janet is quite right to know that, you know, hard support for leaving Canada is pretty stable at 27%.But if we're going to be moving into a space where we're going to have a non -binding referendum ahead of a binding referendum, then the ballot question is not going to be, are we staying or going?The ballot question is going to be, are people happy with Ottawa?Are people happy with the status quo in Canada?

And because it will be a non -binding question, that is going to give people a lot of permission to just treat this as a way of sending Ottawa a message.And that's how we get from a 27 % support to a 50 or 60, 60 % support really quickly.And that's when we get a perpetual potential crisis around succession that will infect Alberta politics for many years to come.

And we know it once it's in the media, people see it, then they start to get their opinions swayed.People want to be on the winning team.They don't want to be in the losing team.That's why you see politicians trying to put out phony -blowny information or data or whatever, or even just telling lies, like Carney said, we've never had it so great, the best we've had it in the last 10 years.Those are all lies, but it tries to tell Canadians that we have it great, and then Canadians tell each other that.The same thing happens in polling data.

If it's phony -blowny polling data, it sways public opinion.So if you get a bunch of people sending a message and you get, say, 60 % vote to separate, let's have a referendum on the vote that isn't for separating, well, then other people are like, hmm, maybe we should separate.There's 60 % of people who are in with this maybe I should think about this twice and then maybe that 27 % number she says goes up to 37 or 47 or 57 %And then there really is a separation.So this is a slippery slope here.Carney's not going to get that new pipeline coming in.

He knows that we know that the B .C.caucus knows that 14 of them are not going to vote for it.He doesn't have the numbers.He's only got a very slim majority here and he's going to lose Nate Erskine Smith and Jonathan Wilkinson.So he's already down a couple of votes.

He can't pull in enough people from the NDP.As I mentioned, he can't pull in the block.So that pipeline is not going to happen.Probably going to still try to bring in carbon credits.And Albertans are going to be pissed off with this.And they're going to send a message.

And this is going to snowball.

You're nodding, Graham.Totally.Like, I'm worried.I'm worried.I'm not there.But I talked to people there.

I talked to some separatists.I talked to some non -separatists and people who are appalled by what's happened.And the temperature there, from my perspective here, has been very, very hot.And I think it's going to get hotter.What Jen's talking about there is this slippery slope.and the free -for -all over several months that we're going to have now, you know, with Justin Trudeau's legacy brought up again, you know, listening to the Premier on this program, talking about that, talking about that last night in the television address, and, you know, I think I said, Jen, in an interview, you know, saying, You think a pipeline is going to fix this?

And I think that was a really good point.There's something very deep with a lot of these folks.And if that starts to spread in the digital world, in the social media world, what does that look like?Is it Brexit?

I hope to God it's not.This is going to.snowball and fester and grow and grow.Daniel Smith is letting the genie out of the bottle by wording it like this so it can fester and grow.I think she knows what she's doing, it's 4D chess.Carney just got played and he doesn't even know it.

Now the thing to watch is do separatists move to America or another country, or does this fester and grow, creating a massive problem for Mark Carney and the Liberals?

Again, around this question of who the premier is trying to appease, because you have recent polling that shows if she were to head to the general electorate, she could in fact actually secure a bigger, Premier Smith could secure a bigger majority than she has right now.Why does she have to, from a purely political perspective, or why does it appear she has to worry about the half of her party, as Jen articulates, that wants to separate in some way or fashion?

Well, and I agree.My polling shows it's actually more than 50 percent.It's about 54 percent.So she is holding this group of voters together that includes both separatists and non -separatists.And that's dangerous for her because if half her vote were to flee, if half her vote were to go and form a separatist party, then we have this perfect storm where suddenly the NDP is more popular than the UCP.And she wants to guard against that.

And she's got Jason Kenney as a cautionary tale.because he didn't kowtow to the far right in his life.party.So she's and you know, Daniel Smith has been walking this fine line ever since she won the UCP leadership.She attracted a base of voters.And at the time, I thought, well, she's never going to win the leadership.

And not only did she win the leadership, I thought, well, she's never going to win the general election.Not while she's talking about these issues, but when she just seems to be able to skate down the middle, keep both of those groups comfortable.And so on the one hand, you can say, wow, half of her supporters are separatists.On the other hand, and you can say, it's pretty amazing.that she's kept those separatists in the fold, even when she has said over and over again that she's not a separatist.

We're also seeing a similar situation in British Columbia, where we've got liberals trying to hijack the B .C.Conservative Party.If they were successful in their attempt to slander Carrie Lynn Finlay and kick her out of the leadership race, then the entire party would have blown up.But they didn't.The voting's going on right now.

If you haven't voted yet, go vote for Carrie Lynn Finlay if you're signed up to the B .C.Conservative Party.I have more to say on that whole situation, but we'll wait until the vote is over.Meanwhile, in Alberta, we've got Nahid Nenchi here, the NDP opposition leader, which is probably the greatest gift to Daniel Smith.Look at this.

Ready to fight it.And by the way, if Daniel believes in the polls.Call the election now.Ready to fight.This guy's picking his nose while doing a press conference.Just a disgusting specimen.

It's not just on CTV, they're saying the same stuff here on CBC.

Smith is taking so much criticism from some within her party, certainly from those in the separatist movement, those who would want to remain in Canada.And we heard from the NDP leader, Nahid Nenshi, yesterday's scathing comments about Smith.What do you make of the criticism?

It's funny.So there's a lot of attacks on Daniel Smith.Oh, will she be able to remain leader?She's getting cut down by her own party, etc.But they accidentally brought on a guy here that would tell the truth.

She's getting.Well, the criticism is. at its root fair insofar as a premier of a province has put forward a question that could ultimately lead to the breakup of the country, which would be a tragedy for Alberta, it would be a tragedy for Canada, I would contend it would be a tragedy for the world.And you can say, well, there's very little chance that the referendum has, and people thought that about the Brexit referendum too, and look what that led to for the future of the United Kingdom.I'm very worried by the referendum on the referendum.And while I understand she's trying to assuage elements within her own caucus, that doesn't change the fact that she's putting thefuture of the country at risk.

But let's remember one other thing as well.There's a lot of sort of condescension in central Canada towards Smith, towards Alberta, towards this referendum on a referendum.Who do these people think they are?Well, they are an angry people and they have every reason to be angry.From the time the provinces were founded, when Albertans in Saskatchewan were not given the natural resources powers that other provinces had, to the latest regulation from Ottawa limiting the development of the oil sands for environmental or other reasons, Albertans have been put upon by a central Canadian elite that looks at them as something of a colony.And the result of that indifference and condescension from central Canada is this referendum on a referendum.

We're responsible for that here in the center.We're the ones who are as much to blame as anyone else, including Daniel Smith.

Wow.Some honesty on the CBC.Look at that.Moving ahead, we've got Mark Carney here telling a lie on Twitter.We've got Kirk Lubomov posting this.Another day, another Mark Carney lie.

Carney is crediting his new bureaucracy level the major projects office for the Nouveau Monde graphite mine, when in reality this project was already in the works in 2021.So as he's got it shown here.Carney stating just six months after we referred it to the major projects office, the mine is getting under construction.And in reality, he's got the receipts here.February 10th, 2021.This project's been in the works for a long time.

Moving ahead, we've got this one, the Public Safety Canada account here, once again, getting community checked, posting all G7 5i partners and most EU countries have lawful access frameworks that include technical obligations for electronic service providers.And they get community noted here with the EU Court of Justice has ruled twice that But general and indiscriminate mandatory data retention by service providers is unlawful, meaning most EU countries lack equivalent frameworks to Bill C -22's metadata retention requirements.note, perhaps pun intended, this is actually a terrifying thing that happens here with a good ending.So we've got a paraglider and I won't spoil it, something happens.Did you catch that?A Cessna hit a paraglider.

That's right, a plane comes in from behind her and hits paraglider.Now a bunch of people wondering how the Cessna can't see this big pink paragliding.People are showing videos of Cessnas and the visibility going out the bottom is really bad so maybe that's why but I mean from far away you'd expect them to be able to see this person but I guess not and it is just insane because you can think this thing goes right through the canopy here and it could just have grabbed her and dragged her all the way back to the airport through the air but instead it just rips it apart and what happens?Okay, just to break this down a little bit.So what she does here, she reaches in and grabs an extra parachute out of this pocket and throws it out, which is this white thing.And then that's what you can see at the top here.

So she has a parachute now.So she struggles and fights with her sack here to try to get free from it for a long time and then eventually gets her feet out and you can see here so she's basically standing in it now because if your feet are stuck in there and you try to land with this that's not gonna be good you have to cushion the blow with your legs when you hit it'll be hitting pretty hard as you'll see here.So she starts floating down and she sees a road here and a bit of an empty patch luckily she you know wasn't just gonna go slamming into a tree.This is unbelievable.So she basically clipped the side of that tree coming down right there, which, you know, kind of cushioned the blow a little bit, lands, doesn't break anything, is not injured.And it turns out the pilot too of that plane also was able to land perfectly fine.

The odds of this happening, a plane hitting a paraglider is near zero and the odds of both of them surviving are also near zero.Absolutely unreal.