Guerre en Iran: pourquoi PERSONNE n'avait osé frapper aussi fort?

Bonsoir tout le monde, on n 'arrête pas l 'actualité, on est à nouveau avec l 'excellent Siavosh Ghazi, qui va bientôt fêter 40 ans de journalisme, 40 ans au service du public.Le premier devoir de la Charte de Munich, donner l 'information au public, quels qu 'en soient les risques, pour vous -même.Il a commencé en 1913.foreign foreign He already has 5 ,000 subscribers, but go to 10 ,000.Make me happy, really, go to 10 ,000.You have first -hand French -speaking information on his channel, because Siavash Razi is in Iran.

And we really need to have this information directly local, direct producer, as we say.Obviously, without further ado, let's talk about what happened last night.This war has become the alternative current.As you know, for several months now, this war has lasted longer than the Malvinas War.It's not a war, the Congress did not say it was a war, but it lasted longer than the Falkland War or the Malvinas War in Argentina and England.In fact, every Friday we are told that the war is resuming, and on Monday it stops to calm the financial markets.

This permanent contradiction between peace and war is obviously tiring the public, and it's us the public, and it has become absolutely unbearable, intolerable, unbearable.Namely, we are told a few days earlier in the West that the war is over, and then you have hits that are historic.So, to open up, it has already circulatedon X that Iran declared, through the body of the Guardians of the Revolution, that the era of the tit for tat, which I had explained in my shorts, was revolutionary.What is the tit for tat?It is the biblical formula, eye for eye, tooth for tooth, that is to say, you break a factory, I break another factory, but no more, no more, no less, I do the same thing, we balance the accounts.

There are countries that don't do that.to be of the 5th fleet in the CENCOM.The CENCOM is the most powerful command of the United States, far ahead of the AFRICOM, PACOM, PACIFICOM, the Pacific Command, which is very important.The CENCOM is the command of the Middle East, which since the famous Carter Doctrine, which has what the United States considers the oil reserves around the Caspian Sea and the Middle East as absolutely strategic.Well, the CENTCOM is the most gifted, as well as Israel is part of the coverage of this CENTCOM, this is where the United States sends the most means of financing, defense and deployable troops, aircraft carriers, etc.It's the cream of the cream of what the American army can offer.

And in the CENTCOM, you have the 5th fleet, which is the most equipped fleet among the CENTCOM, and Iran has just hit, without any problem, The seat of this fleet was so humiliating and serious that at the beginning the CENCOM denied it.And now we are in the Twitter era, we can say what we want about Elon Musk, but for now he still hasn't censored it.The CENCOM denied it, but Twitter immediately put notes from the community to say, yes the CENCOM denied it, but it's not true.Just before giving the floor to the excellent Yavosh Razi, I remind you that J 'ai décidé d 'adopter une ligne éditoriale dans cette émission.Bien sûr, on va vous donner les faits, on va discuter les dépêches et on va analyser tout ça avec le recul de Siavash Razi, qui, comme je vous l 'ai dit, fait bientôt 40 ans de journalisme, 40 ans au service du public.Mais avant ça, je voudrais qu 'on parle du journalisme de paix, le peace journalism de Yohann Galtung.

C 'est une charte que j 'ai envie d 'adopter.Je vous l 'ai dit, madame, ma mère, toujours, en a un peu marre que je parle de mauvaises nouvelles.Le problème, c 'est que je n 'ai pas les moyens de changer l 'actualité.Par contre, j 'ai les moyens de changer en partie la façon dont je couvre l 'actualité, Peace Journalism, by Johan Galtung.foreign When a school was hit and small girls were killed by two Tomahawks at the same place, a lot of people said, no, no, of course, they were not humans.We have to avoid all dehumanization, but we also have to make the effort to do it in the other direction, which we will do too.

In this show, we will talk about peace journalism, because I cannot prevent the factthat we are from Sisyphus of the news, we climb the stone towards peace, and each time it goes down, because fundamentally it is the myth of Sisyphus, this war in Iran.We are told that it will be peace and then the stone falls.People make efforts towards peace, but the stone falls along the mountain.Albert Camus said in the myth of Sisyphus, you have to imagine Sisyphus happy.So that's also what we're going to do in these shows.

And I would like to do it more regularly with you.Sorry Siavash Razi for this long introduction, but it seemed necessary to me.Good evening to you.

Good evening.

It's an honor to have you again.Let's start with the first piece of information.Iran was able to strike the 5th Fleet's headquarters, and it was so shocking and impressive, which is normally supposed to be the consequences of the enemies of the United States.On the contrary, we don't do shock and awe on the United States, they do it on the other countries in the region.What is your point of view, you who have been covering the Gulf since 1988, what can you tell us about that?

During the 40 -day war, Iran had already hit this huge base, which is the main American base in the region, in Bahrain.But this time, it's even more symbolic because, according to the Iranian version, there was an attack against a telecommunications antenna on the island of Reshme, and then a strike against an empty Iranian oil tanker that was heading to the Kark terminal in the northern part of the Persian Gulf.And so, at that moment, Uh,That is to say that despite the version that was given by the Americans, now we have both the videos of the launch of the missiles, but also the live videos of this base in Bahrain, of the fifth American fleet, where we see the destruction online on satellite videos, and this is the first time that, in an attempt to stop the fire, Iran responds in this way.That is, there are two bases that were hit in Kuwait, then two bases in Bahrain, two American military bases, two American military bases in Kuwait, three bases Uh, a ship belonging to the American -Oceanian coalition, and finally, at the same time, at 11 p .m.

last night, a strike against a base of a particular position, the Komala, which is an ally of the United States, of Israel, and whose mission was to launch its armed men on the first days of the war to occupy the part of the Iranian Kurdistan to create an area controlled by the opposition forces.So it's a repost from Tehran.And the meaning is that not only does Iran control the Deir ez -Zor, it's also that Iran controls the sky of the Persian Gulf of Deir ez -Zor.the Sea of Oman, and by the way, the Revolutionary Guards were able to communicate this afternoon to say that Iran was going to resist, so this is a formulation that the Iranians generally use, until the departure of the last American soldier of the region, of the entire region of Western Asia, as it is called here, not the Middle East, but this part of Western Asia.This includes the countries of the Persian Gulf, but also Central Asia, Syria and Iraq, and also until the liberation of Jerusalem and the disappearance of Israel.So the tone is really going up.

And despite these very large and very wide strikes, we saw Donald Trump's reaction, who said that he would like to meet the new Supreme Leader, while he had affirmed at the beginning of the war that he would be such a priority for both Israel and the United States.

And so that means that for Tehran, Iran is in a position of strength.

foreign foreign

You have perfectly launched the next subject.I am adjusting the sound of the microphones on both sides, but for the moment the connection is good.I remind you that you are live from Iran at the time we speak.I'm not mistaken, you're in Tehran, right?

Yes, I'm in Tehran.

You travel a lot.You launched the second dispatch perfectly, because it's very difficult to filter information at the moment.So when we have this strike, we will also come back to the fact that the Patriots did not intercept this strike, and the Patriot missiles are normally there to intercept this kind of strike.We will remind you that the Patriots are over 50 years old, so they date the research and development program of the Patriot system by Raytheon from 1976.the Iranian hypersonic weapons are obviously much more recent, it is a problem in the region.But you mentioned the other issue of which we speak extremely little in the mainstream media, and I deplore it, it is that in fact it was a rumor, it had been denied, and it is now confirmed.

Trump said, so I'm not saying would have said, Trump said to Netanyahu on the phone, you're fucking crazy.So that's new, we're still on a rhetoric that is quite unusual, and above all, it leaked in the press.As a journalist, can you tell us a little more about it?Because it's unprecedented.

Absolutely, it's unprecedented.In addition, he himself confirmed it this afternoon by confirming the words he had used when he called Benjamin Netanyahu.He called him for the first time and then Benjamin Netanyahu said two hours later that he was going to continue the operation, to carry out the operation.to you, he called him back to yell at him even more, telling him that it was he who had prevented him from being imprisoned and without him he would have been in prison today.So Israel must stop doing this bullshit.

French translation not transcribed to be How should you abandon the chases against Netanyahu?It's something that a head of state should never do.Normally, an American head of state is not supposed to give instructions to the justice of a country.He's not supposed to tell them, listen, stop doing common law.Donald Trump at the Knesset had said, be nice, stop pursuing Netanyahu.Apparently, he was not rewarded for making this completely out of norm statement at the Knesset, and today he is saying, without me you would be in jail.

From a diplomatic point of view and from the point of view of the alliance between the United States and Israel, there too, as you said, it is unprecedented.

Absolutely, there was this episode at the Knesset,but also a call he made to the Israeli president to ask him to end this case two or three months ago.Because the Knesset agreement was, I think, a year and a half ago.So he came back to the charge to ask that Benjamin Netanyahu is not prosecuted by justice, which the Israeli president refused to do.It's even more interesting that every time Benjamin Netanyahu called the American president, for example, two or three weeks ago, he had accepted the 10 points of the Iranian plan, in particular a stop to Israeli strikes against Lebanon, a ceasefire throughout the region, Benjamin Netanyahu called him.Immediately afterwards, he changed his position by saying that Lebanon was not part of the agreement with Iran.

This time, the opposite happened.Until now, and this is something that must be noted, until now, whenever Benjamin Netanyahu called him, he submitted to the will of the Israeli Prime Minister.Some analysts, including among the diaspora, an Iranian monarchist, say about him, but also about Reza Pahlavi, the son of the former monarch.who are both, in a way, hostages of something or someone, referring to the Epstein affair.That's why every time the Israeli prime minister called President Trump, he submitted, so he changed his position, there were constant changes.And one of the responsible monarchists, of the old guard, who was the advisor of...

Prince Héritier, the son of the former monarch, gave two interviews three or four days ago, and he clearly said that both personalities were hostages of something, and so he went even further, and then he said, I can't say more, because I myself am threatened.I had of death threats and sometimes I can't even sleep at home because I'm afraid of being targeted.These declarations are also taken up by certain foreign journalists, but of course we don't talk about it in the official media, but it is evoked more and more, including in Iran, of course, but also in the Iranian diaspora, in the renaissance groups.

Thank you very much for that.While I go to the next speed, if you want, just check the parameter of the microphone at the bottom of the screen, check what takes your voice to be sure, because there we have a small latency, sometimes the volume changes.But in any case, it's very interesting what you tell us, so just check which microphone is used.If it's the microphone of your listener, it's very interesting.

I think it would be better with both.

It's much better, indeed, it's perfect.Yes, it's impeccable what you told us, we're really starting to understand better.I will take the opportunity to recall the principles of Peace Journalism and I will then recall your channel.Here is a summary of the principles of Yoann Galtung in 10 points.Map the conflict before writing, diversify the sources, this is standard journalism.Ask questions oriented towards solutions.

That's the third principle.When we analyze a conflict, we ask ourselves what are the underlying problems and the possible ways to resolve the conflict.Obviously, the situation in Iran and the Middle East has changed.so many parties and so many reasons.There are not only geopolitical reasons, there are religious, messianic, eschatological reasons.This makes this conflict a particularly thorny conflict, like a woolen ball.

It is therefore more difficult to cut the cord, to hear the language and the framing.This is very important.Many people do it.For example, on the BBC, we see that when we talk, for example, about Russian progression in Ukraine, we are of course talking about occupation.When we talk about Israel and Lebanon, we don't talk about occupation.So we have to audit the language to see if it is neutral or not.

And we can see that the West is taking part in this conflict.Despite this, it uses a lexicon that is not neutral.Structuring the article in depth, that is to say, giving context and multiple ways is what we are doing.We have received the excellent Mehran Rapoport.I hope we will receive him again.Mehran Rapoport is in Israel.

In Iran, this is the principle of peace journalism.We will continue to do so.Select the visuals in a contextual and ethical way.This is what we have tried to do with the image we have presented.I will explain to you what the image of this miniature is.It is obviously not generated by artificial intelligence.

Evaluate the consequences of this story.Does this cover open a space for peace?It is true that when we want to practice peace journalism, which is much more demanding, we have to ask ourselves the question of the consequences of the information we give.You're fucking crazy.of the Patriot missiles, the Patriot missile interceptors that failed to intercept the strike.The Iranians had already demonstrated that they could strike this base in the Bahrain, but they had not struck precisely this base.

If we want to be tactful about the epithets used for the American strikes in the Middle East for a very long time, the Iranians, even if they had shown that they could strike this base, had never specifically hit the HQ of the 5th Fleet, which is once again the crown jewel of the region.And there they did it.So the patriots didn't work.We know that on the other hand, Chinese intelligence allows the Iranians to have a knowledge of the sky which is quite impeccable and which has also broken the furtivity of the F -35, which is in itself a blow to Iran.for the American military -industrial complex.So, Siavashrazi, what can we draw as a conclusion from all this, from this strike, from the failure of the patriots, from the fact that airports were also targeted by the Kuwaitis, and the consequences for both sides?

Speaking in French There are divisions within the power without even giving proof.For example, we talk about images of propaganda when these images come from Iran, while in the opposite case, when these images come from the United States or Israel, these are images to which we pay attention.So, there is, first of all, this demonization.Then, in Metri, for example, today there is an article, an American channel that has stated that, in fact, Iran had used missiles, Chinese missiles, anti -aircraft, so portable, to shoot down an F -15 plane.So right away, everyone took up this version of things by saying that yes, of course, the Chinese provided weapons to the Iranians to despise Iran, by making it clear that Iran did not have the possibility to manufacture such weapons.The same experts explained two or three months ago that these are portable missiles manufactured by Iran, which were used by the Hezbollah for strike money against Israel and Israeli tanks.

So there are always contradictions and a demonization, a mastery of the opponent to shape public opinion and spectators who do not correspond to reality.

I wanted to show you an example here.We see for example the BBC.It's this animation that shows us.I'm going to pause it.So, when it's the Russians in Ukraine, it's a massive Russian attack on cities across Ukraine.The BBC is supposed to be the master of journalism.

British journalism in particular.And in fact, we see that Galtung's charter is not at all respected.By the way, our colleague, Mehran Rapoport, condemns this kind of variable geometry vocabulary.So we remind you that there are journalists in Israel who do the work.But it is up to us in the West to be vigilant about the choice of words, because in fact, to misname things is to participate in to the pain of the world, to the evil of the world.So, you have, so yes, I take up the question on the consequences for each other of the failure of these patriotic missiles and of this capacity of Iran to strike in all these areas, that is to say, this vulnerability, fundamentally, of the Arab states in the region.

Absolutely.I wanted to continue on that.In fact, if we go back to the period of the 40 -day war, systematically the Americans and the Israelis said that Iranian missiles were intercepted.One or two were intercepted, because this speech was systematically taken up by the experts on the major information channels.Now, thanks to the American media, we have information on the success of the Iranian strikes.For example, CNN announced that 15 American bases had been partially destroyed and were no longer usable in the region.

15 bases out of 17, that's huge, while the Iranians are talking about 17 strikes.a dozen radar systems, notably very expensive radars.One of these radars in Qatar costs $1 .1 billion, so a success there also for Iran.

The famous SAAD system, is that it?

That's it, yes, exactly.Then, the Iranians announced that they had shot down 120 drones, which had been dismantled by the CENTCOM.Now we have the information that these drones were shot down in the Iranian sky.About forty American planes, including the F -35s, were hit by Iranian missiles.This shows that Iran has developed a ballistic and drone capability, which allows it to keep its head held high and strike the Americans from its side without the CENTCOM responding.This is something really new that we did not see.

So, I would like to clarify something about the F -35 plane, which was said to be unattainable, stealthy.So, according to the information we have here, the Iranians have developed a technology that allows you to locate and hit these planes thanks to a to the fire of the engines that are clear.That is, the fire of the engines of an F -35 is not the same as an F -15, and it allows to hit these planes.And thanks to this new technique, in the anti -aircraft missile war, that's why we had, for the first time, F -35s that were targeted, and all the time, in any case, foreignincluding in Iran.Because at the time, during the war, the first Iranian missiles against Israel, many in Iran said that in fact, it was tubes that the Iranians launched that fell back on the territory of Iran.

Whereas now we know that these missiles are very developed, so they cannot even be intercepted, neither by the American system, nor by the Israeli system.

You talked about the body of the Guardian of the Revolution, it is part of the next steps.I wanted to open first on the question of the resignation of President Pesechkian, who proposed his resignation.We know that since the beginning of the war, Iran has adopted a well -known defensive strategy, which is very studied today, which is called the command mosaic, and which therefore allows to divide the country into military regions with a relatively decentralized governance, precisely to avoid decapitation strikes, which are a reality, since the United States and Israel have carried out decapitation strikes on Iranian leadership.As a consequence, the body of the Guardians of the Revolution has been considerably politically reinforced in Iran, It's a consequence that was relatively predictable, and in fact the American military experts knew it.It is, moreover, according to some leaks in the American press, one of the reasons why many of Donald Trump's advisers had recommended not to attack Iran and not to make these strikes initially.for all intents and purposes.

to say a little more about the situation, on whether or not there was a change of political balance within Iran, and whether or not this change of political balance is against Washington's interests.

First of all, I take liberties, so I think I can speak on all subjects without restraining myself.What I can say about this mosaic theory, first of all, I don't really believe in it, We see that there is a centralization of power, both in the war and in the management of the country.Even if there are nuances in power, we see that there has not been a failure in the Iranian repost.foreign So this chain of command has never been established since the first four days of the war, when the former supreme leader was killed, with about 50 high military leaders.There were a few days of flotation, but then everything was taken back in hand.Then there was the assassination of Alina Rejani, who is a very important person, we know it now, it was said today, who made six secret trips, uh who could be an important personality of power and who was eliminated, like the former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Kamal Kharazi, who was a very moderate person, I would say very loose, in a way, due to his personality.

But there is this chain of command that we see here in Iran.So, as far as the resignation of the Prime Minister is concerned, uh uh French

We have a problem with your microphone again, Siavash Razi.We will do the test again.We still have this variability, unfortunately.We have a sound intensity that is a bit down, if you can check.So the sound will be of less good quality, but overall it will vary less.I think we're going to stay like this for now.

I don't have the feedback as it should be.

You will have to increase the volume of your computer on your side, please.

I'll do it at the end.

Unfortunately, I will not be able to do better.

I was saying that this story of resignation of President Pézéchian was invented by the media abroad, even though he said the day after that he was ready to die for the country.of his mandate, but this does not prevent that now there is a big takeover, because today, for example, the President of the Parliament, who is also the head of Iranian negotiators, has gathered around him the economic team of the government to give directives, because what is now with the liberalization of society at the level of clothing, At the level of the scarf for women, there is no more control, there is no more pressure on women.What is really dangerous and therefore essential today for power is the economic situation of the country, because it is a very difficult situation for the population, in particular for the middle classes and the most disadvantaged.Prices are increasing every day.to such an extent that people are wondering if someone is ordering.And so there was this meeting today to get things back in hand.

And the personality of Massoud Peshkhan is not a personality who is able to manage the country in times of war.As an Iranian expert said, Saeed Leilaz, He said that there was the military part, all the military forces that were mobilized for the war, but we didn't feel it at the level of the government.The government acted as if we were in a period of peace.So what can this have for consequences?foreign and therefore urgent for the Iranian power.

But so you confirm to us that basically these mutations of Iranian society do not go in the direction of Washington?

You can repeat, I did not hear.

I'll see if your assistant can put you a sound a little closer to the speakers.If you put the headphones, unfortunately, we will have problems.

No, no, I have it, I have it.

Did you confirm that these mutations of Iranian society, and in particular of Iranian political powers, do not go in the direction of Washington?

No, because in fact the United States thought that the regime would be overthrown in a few days.Convinced by the Israeli Prime Minister, who after the contestation movement, who had been prepared, especially what we have known, the days of 8 and 9 January.preparation of the opposition groups with the help of Israel, with the shipment of 6 ,000 Starlink weapons to the Kurdish group, so a preparation to justify, first to weaken the power and then, if the power did not fall, justify and affirm that the power was weakened.uh We know now, Benjamin Netanyahu convinced President Trump that it was a matter of a few days and that after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, power would fall immediately, which did not happen, and it's the opposite that happened, but because there is a strengthening of power, a rejuvenation, and that's very important, a rejuvenation at the head of the Iranian power, so the former guide who is now replaced by his son who is 30 years younger, so a considerable rejuvenation.foreign foreignuh uh foreign of the region, in Africa, but also in Europe and even in the United States.

Thank you for those clarifications.I will resume the comments.Here is a first one.We had a new lapse of Donald Trump.I will display the screen here, so we have a lot of comments to comment on.A first glimpse of Donald Trump, who told us yesterday that he is negotiating with the gay Ayatollah.

This refers to information that had spread on the networks in the United States, which stated that one of the sons of the former Supreme Guide, the current Iranian Supreme Guide, was homosexual.In any case, Trump refers to this.So we had this first slip -up, and then especially the IEA, the International Atomic Energy Agency.to declare, I quote, that the risk that Iran is armed with the atomic weapon has just increased, since obviously when you go to war with a country, you increase the chances that it defends itself and that it equips itself.So it's our colleague Mario Naofal who reports this, but the main source is the IAEA, the International Agency for Atomic Energy, which we have proof of, by the way, that it had been put under eavesdropping, under espionage.Its president had been spied on by the State of Israel.

In particular, Iran had fled from the threats quite precisely, since the president, the head of the IAEA, had received photographs of his children.Israel had taken photographs with his phone, had remotely activated the camera of his phone to photograph him while he was on vacation at his home for Christmas.Do you have a comment on these two points, Siavash and Razi?

of information of this kind, of rumors of this kind, which are launched by different media or different sources.Each time it is to demonize the opponent.I don't have such information.We know that Mustafa Khamenei was married, he had two children.Yes, absolutely.In fact, we are so used to hearing the opposite now, the worst of things.

One day he said, we are going to destroy Iran.If we compare his statements when Mojtaba Khameneiuh uh foreign is that President Trump is not very balanced in his words, and so there is a lack of rationality in his statements and in his management, in his policy that we see every day.So the main problem is that today he doesn't know how to get out of this whirlpool.That's the main problem with Donald Trump.He got involved in a war They thought it would last four or five days.

And now, when there is a defeat for the first time, a country that is not directly supported by adversarial powers, large military adversarial powers, as was the case for North Vietnam, which was supported by Russia and the USSR.foreignand say, for example, if you hit Lebanon, we will hit you.And so President Trump takes his phone to yell at Prime Minister Netanyahu.The siege of CENTCOM is attacked by Iran.in a targeted, surgical way, there is no reaction, no comment from the Americans.

This is the first time this has happened, and it shows that there is both the military weakness of the Americans, but also the fact that President Trump does not know how to get out of this affair.

François Asselin.of this situation, because for now, Iran is not willing to change or modify its war goals, which includes, as you mentioned, the end of the war in Lebanon, which Netanyahu does not intend to change himself.You mentioned that Iran is facing two nuclear powers, Israel, which is an undeclared nuclear power, but which we know since the revelations of Mordechai Vanouno for the Sunday Times, that Israel is a nuclear power.I think the revelation dates from 1986, even if Israel was probably a nuclear power at the end of the 1970s, and of course the United States.Again, we have Larry Johnson, a former CIA analyst, who, at the microphone of my colleague Mario Naofan, we talked about it yesterday, declared that, according to him, Iran was capable of testing an atomic weapon.and the fact that this war could have been counterproductive.

If the goal was to pacify Iran, having this kind of consequence in the region, i .e.the need for Iran, which is a sovereign state, to arm itself more, would be what we call an epic fail.

So, for two or three years now, there have been several declarations of Iranian responsibility.First of all, Kamal Farazi, the former foreign minister, who was killed during a direct strike, he had declared that Iran had the capacity to manufacture the atomic weapon, but that the decision had not been taken.This is the first thing.It has been confirmed by Ali Akbar Salehi, the former head of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization.Another very important personality who was killed during the 12 -day war, on the first day of the 12 -day war, Fereydoun Abbasi, who was a very high -ranking nuclear scientist, said publicly on television that he knew He had the capacity to manufacture the atomic weapon, but for the moment the Supreme Guide did not give his authorization.We know that Iran has this capacity, the technology to manufacture the atomic weapon,

weapons.But since the 12 -day war, and even more now, more and more people, experts and people in Parliament, say that Iran has no choice but to build atomic weapons.Because if we hear, for example, the statements of Benjamin Netanyahu yesterday again, when he said, we will take care of Iran, we will go all the way, while he was yelled at by Donald Trump, it means that in the vision of Benjamin Netanyahu, but also of other Israeli leaders, the goal has not yet been achieved and therefore we must continue on this path.The only way, in addition to being in Dormus, For Iran, according to these experts, it is to build atomic weapons.As one of these experts said, I quote him again, he affirmed that the exit of these two wars is necessarily a nuclear Iran.It's because there was an existential threat for the Iranian power, for Iran, because the objective, we know now, it was said and repeated by the American leaders, by Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the objective of the Americans and Israel was the dismemberment of Iran.

When we asked Donald Trump in the Oval Office, when we asked him, Did he confirm that he had armed the Kurds?And when he was asked if the map of Iran after the war would look like the current map, he said no, it will not look like this map.And so, the objective of the two countries, not only Israel, but also the United States, is a dismemberment of Iran.And so, in the face of these threats, the only solution is toUh, uh, is which causes an electromagnetic effect, which is even more powerful, much more destructive.And so, of course, we know that Iran, after this war, will go towards strengthening its military capabilities, because our countries have no choice.

Yes, but it is a catastrophe from a geopolitical point of view.And we know that, for example, Donald Trump had criticized Barack Obama for the Iranian agreements.It was one of the bases of his campaign platform concerning American geopolitics in the Middle East.And the two main criticisms he made were, on the one hand, that Barack Obama would have enriched Iran by providing it with funds, or at least agreements that corresponded to funds, and on the other hand, that, of course, Barack Obama would have been, according to Donald Trump, too lax regarding the so -called civil nuclear program.In these two objectives, we see that Barack Obama had left an Iran that was more in line with the American interests in the region.

Yes, absolutely.At the time, those who were in power in Iran were rather Western pros who have been removed since.The former president Hassan Rouhani or the former foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, who have been removed since the beginning of the war because they had sent signals to to tell the Americans that they were there to replace the Supreme Guide if he was killed.And so it was said indirectly and directly when, for example, Hassan Rouhani, in the middle of the war, a week before the end of the war, said that a big change was needed.So it was perceived as a signal to the Americans to say, well, we have to eliminate the Supreme Guide.I'm here to replace him.

And it was perceived like that.and since then they have been put aside.At the time, of course, they were very favorable to a rapprochement with the West, which is no longer the case today.Even in the team of President Pézéchrian, there are people who are favorable to a rapprochement with the West.The power as a whole is rather favorable to a rapprochement with China and with Russia.even criticize the little pressure from Iran, which does not take advantage of this situation to ally directly and announce this alliance with China and Russia in the face of the American -Israeli alliance.

You, who also know the Iranian geopolitics, just in a few words, before we move on to the others, Iran is in a position that is very complicated.to that of Turkey vis -à -vis Russia, that is to say that the Iranian national interest has always been complicated vis -à -vis Russia, since there has been a real competition since the time of what was called the great game between Russia and Iran.So can Iran really officialize an alliance with the Russian Federation?

Yes, in fact, interests are now common.The interest of the two countries, China, but also countries such as South Africa and Brazil, is to create a parallel system, particularly financial.which will compete to weaken the dollar system and thus get rid of these American pressure measures, with all these sanctions that are constantly taken to put pressure on all the countries that dare to oppose and say not to be in the ranks.So the interest of all these countries is to go very quickly towards the creation of a new system.And I think that the outcome of this war is also that, that is to say that institutions that were created after the Second World War will no longer have the same role as before, that is to say that the United Nations, the World Bank, the IMF will no longer have the same role as before, they will be very weakened, the sanctions system, the SWIFT system, will not be as powerful as before.In fact, the US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, admitted it himself in a statement about a month ago, that in fact, in a few years' time,

sanctions will no longer be a weapon for the United States and European countries, because as of now, countries are starting to trade in their own currencies.For example, Iran is trading in rials or rubles with Russia.We are going to witness an acceleration of this parallel system that is going to be put in place and gradually replace the dollar system that was put in place after the Second World War.

And this started as soon as the war in Ukraine, since the Russians had been sanctioned and had already deployed the MIR payment system as an alternative to the SWIFT system.I'm going to show you two news.Here is Guo Chen, who tells us that Iran has published the exact list of targets.not this but that, not vague threats, not we will respond, We see for Bahrain, the base of the 5th FIAT, we talked about that.Then in Kuwait, the base of Ali al -Salem, still in Kuwait, the Arifjian camp, and then we had a tanker, of course, a super hit oil company, etc.And the island of Keshem, we will now talk about the island of Keshem.

Here is our colleague Furkan Gozukala, I recommend him, he is a person to follow, I have the honor to be followed by him.I recommend you to follow him on X, he is very interesting and you know that today we are going to talk about him.The Pentagon made an official statement saying that the attack on the island of Keshem was at the beginning of self -defense, that the Americans were founded to attack the island of Keshem.But we remind you that it is from the Iranian point of view, this attack on the island of Keshem that justified the attack on Keshem.on the 5th fleet's HQ.Siavash Razi, your opinion.

In fact, the Iranians published the list of targets that had been targeted since this morning.That is, the Iranian media gave us the list of all these bases, and we have seen since the beginning of the war that what the Iranians say corresponds more to reality than to what the Iranian media especially Israel or the United States.Because every time, the Iranians would say, we hit this place, that place, that site, in Israel or in the region, the American bases in the region.And systematically, the reaction was, we intercepted, the missiles were intercepted.Today, again, at the first hours of the morning, there was a statement from the Kuwaiti government or the Kuwaiti army, which stated that the Iranian missiles had been intercepted in the sky.And then afterwards, we saw images of the Kuwaiti airport, completely devastated.

So that means that the missiles have hit their target.So there is this communication war.But what I see on the ground, without taking sides for the Iranian power, of course, foreignforeign foreign not by Israel, because the press is more controlled in Israel, but by the American media, by Bloomberg, by CNN, or other American media that have published all this information on the very, very important destruction of the means military in the region, which amounts to several tens of billions of dollars, which went up in smoke during the 40 -day war.

I remind you that you can subscribe to the excellent channel of Siavash Razi.We are in the middle of the show, so I remind you here his channel.You have already gained 300 subscribers since the beginning of the show.This is not enough, we can do better.Here is your channel, Siavash Razi, really subscribe because it has just been created.You can really say, I was there, it is one of the best sources for the moment in the region.

Al Jazeera confirmed a disaster from the point of view of the Pentagon.The IRGC Corps of the Guardians of the Revolution, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, officially struck the fifth fleet.Here is what happened in the last hours.Reports circulated saying that the United States had hit the island of Kejim.Then, reports circulated saying that a commercial tanker, which is an act of piracy in the eyes of international law, Iranian, would have been hit.The media affiliated with Iran therefore spoke of these attacks and then reported that Iran had hit bases in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, as well as the seat of the fifth fleet.

Finally, fourth point, the CENTCOM has stated that it had protected retaliation.The war secretary, Pete Exet.to share recordings of the United States launching Hellfire missiles on commercial tankers.These are not normally military targets, so that's why it's an act of piracy in the eyes of international law.And the Revolutionary Guards Corps also targeted American and Israeli ships, including the MSC Panaia, which is also a commercial ship.So that's a summary.

I also invite you to follow the excellent account MechMengeOzint.It's a really good account, I have the honor of being followed by him.You have one of the best accounts on Ukraine as well as on the D3 of Hormuz.The core of the Guardians of the Revolution has well targeted the MSC Panaya with missiles in response to the attack of the enemy.these tankers in the Detroiter Moose by the United States.This, for once, shows us that there are different levels with different repose doctrines.

At the moment, in terms of strikes on commercial buildings, Iran has remained on the Tid for Tat model.It is rather on land strikes and on land targets in the US allies in the area, Kuwait, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar in particular, and Saudi Arabia, that Iran has officially declared that it is moving away from its Tid for Tat policy.foreign a progressive doctrine, especially over a very long period.Israel can't do that, because Israel can't afford a long war, and can't afford to use for several dozen days the strategy of tit -for -tat.A comment on the fact that Iran has actually kept the doctrine of tit -for -tat concerning for the moment, strikes on oil companies, even if it is part of it, concerning strikes on the bases, after 40 days, which is still very long, more than 40 days, 70 days now.A comment on the strikes on oil companies in the Dormouse Strait, please, Siavash Razie.

It is true that there was an Iranian oil company that was targeted.Henry Post, Iran, targeted a merchant ship.The main objective of Iran in the long run is to make the Americans leave the region.And that's why there are these strikes against American bases in the region.So no matter who started first, what is important is that there have been very important strikes on eight American bases in the region, if we count the base in Syria as well, so eight bases.uh uh foreign

in the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf.Uh, that the Americans have presented so far.There is a great weakness that has been shown during this war and it will have consequences, not only in the region, it will have consequences in the whole world.It is a page that turns after the Second World War, it is a page, and the disappearance of the USSR, it is a page this time that turns in the world with a considerable establishment of the United States.

I'm going to let you put the headphones back on, I'll adapt the sound myself, don't worry if there's some noise, it's always as exciting.I'm also going to display, whether we like Elon Musk or not, X remains a fairly free source, it's even quite surprising, since we've had different forms of censorship, but here for example, we have an account which is an account that is expressed in the name of Iran in Arabic, so it is translated simultaneously from Arabic, which has therefore directly broadcasted on X the statement according to which the policy of the TidforTat, eye for eye, tooth for tooth, was going to be abandoned by Iran.So we still have this information on X, it's something new.And then let's talk a little bit about macroeconomics.Here is another piece of information that I encourage you to follow, it is the Kobayashi Letter, a great reference on X, which tells us that in parallel, of course, of the war in Iran is starting to take shape.We see here, for example, the index of food inflation.

The price of rice in Thailand has increased by 20 % in May.This is absolutely considerable, especially for economies in Southeast Asia, which normally have a relatively controlled inflation.When we compare, for example, South America, Latin America, Argentina and Brazil, where figures of 20 % in a month can happen, it is still unprecedented.Well, it may not be unprecedented, but it is very rare for member states of the ASEAN, including Thailand.Thank you very much.in Thailand, in Cambodia and in the Philippines, with a 50 % increase.

We know that it is a war objective, in any case it is a way for Iran to make the war unbearable for Donald Trump and his allies.We also know that Donald Trump in particular has abandoned some of his allies, notably in Asia, since Donald Trump had recovered All these means are used by Iran, i .

e.to put pressure on the Syrians.

You can put your headphones back on, we'll hear you better, I'll adapt the sound myself.I'll let you put them back on, both of you, please, and then I'll modify each one's sound.Thank you.Please resume your speech, we're listening to you.

Juste un instant, je fais une petite modification.Juste un instant.

Alors, dans cet intervalle, je vais vous reprendre certains points le temps que Siavashrazi nous rejoigne.Je vous affiche donc à nouveau cette confirmation que le CENCOM avait au départ redénié Siavashrazi.The CENCOM has contradicted the statement according to which Iran had hit the command of the 5th Fleet.We still see this war of information in which it is difficult to know, to verify the statements of each other.Again, this macroeconomic point on food inflation, I recall 20 % for the price of rice in May in Thailand, 50 % for nitrogen fertilizers, which obviously have an impact on the food supply chain in the region.And then the Japanese oil stocks have never been so low for at least 60 years.

since the last oil shock, which means that, as experts had predicted about 15 days ago, the oil shock that is being inflicted today by the war in Iran is officially superior to that of 1979.Your analysis, Yavosh, go ahead.We can't hear you anymore.Excuse me, I have a problem with...We can't hear your microphone anymore.Maybe to be sure, I'll let you disconnect and reconnect.

Maybe that was the problem.Maybe we'll need you to disconnect and reconnect.Thank you for your patience in the chat.It's the difficulty when we do live from Iran, but we know that you prioritize the info.I'll let you disconnect completely.You can refresh the page if you want.

It's good, it's good.Yes, it looks better now.Wait, ok, good.

So, let's go.

Yes, this is part of the Iranian strategy.What we know is that Iran's warehouses are full, meaning that Iran can keep food for six months, but also other products, even if there have been very targeted strikes, in particular by the Israelis, against certain pharmaceutical factories, for example, 24 pharmaceutical factories.Iran produces 80 % of its medicines, on the spot, drugs that are 5 to 6 times cheaper than the same drugs produced in Western countries, which were distributed not only in Iran but also in the countries of the region.But we know that Iran has the possibility of holding for 6 months Even if the prices increase here in Iran, for example, chemical fertilizers or other products of the same kind, plastic, for example, there have been strikes against petrochemical facilities that have increased the prices of plastic bags, of everything that is plastic.So it also has consequences in Iran.But the difference is that Iran is used to sanctions, and it is

to deal with them, while other countries, for example, especially Asian countries or European countries or even the United States, do not have this possibility to adapt so quickly.We know, for example, that in Iran, for example, the government has decided to limit the working week to four days to avoid moving back.These are consequences that will have, I think, at some point, important consequences on the vision that people have, these populations in these different countries vis -à -vis the United States.Uh, Every time, the President of the Camp has a very moderate tone, saying that in a few days we will finally reach an agreement, and so the agreement is a matter of tomorrow, while Iran remains firm on its positions, both on Lebanon and also on Gaza, since there is a threat of closure of the city of Bab el -Mandeb on the part of the head of the Russian Revolutionary Guard Force.if Israel continues its policy against the population of Gaza, and also, for example, on the war reparations, the development of Iranian arms.So, there must be, for example, a crossroads between Iran, Qatar and the United States.

Visibly, Qatar has agreed to advance the $12 billionIran, which it will later recover from the Americans, or not.We know the relations between Qatar and the United States.When President Trump came to the region, Qatar even offered him a plane to replace the presidential plane.foreign foreign But we also know that there is a project of gas and oil between Qatar and Pakistan, and then to India.And so this gas has to pass through the Iranian waters, through the Iranian national waters.

And so here again, it is an additional pressure on the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf.And so Iran will of course use all these means to show that it is in fact Iran that decides, that is the decider in the region.

We see that it is always very difficult to have confirmation of information.For example, you talked about frozen funds.The initial figure was difficult to confirm on X, but we also have this notion of 300 billion, which would have been financed by the Gulf States to rebuild Iran.At the beginning, we were told that it was false information, and in the end, it was confirmed.We must therefore admit in a completely objective way I believe that the American war goals have not been achieved.and that, in reality, this war initiated by Washington and Tel Aviv has produced the opposite effect, which many analysts, both American and Israeli, had anticipated.

He had been put on guard, as well as Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu had been put on guard by their respective generals, by their respective heads of state, on the bad opportunity, on the lack of interest in carrying out this operation.And well, Siavash Razi, I think we have covered most of the issues.I will check a few others with you right now.Yes, it is confirmed that the American defense means have been unable to intercept the Iranian vectors.So, in the end, we really have very negative consequences of this war for the West, for the collective West.Namely, on the one hand, the manifestation of what some weapons, which were reputedly excellent, such as the Patriot, whose reputation had already been damaged during the war in Ukraine.

But on the one hand, weapons whose reputation was excellent have been shown to be ineffective.I'm talking about the F -35, the Patriot, and other American weapons systems, such as the SAAD, which was considered the most ultra -neck of American interceptors.On the other hand, the fact that Iran was able to keep up with the first power in the region, namely the United States.And finally, the fact, as we mentioned, that Iran has more and more reasons to arm itself nuclearly now, and has the technological means.And on the other hand, that Iran was able to offer a field of experience for its weapons, including hypersonic missiles.The assessment of this war, which is unfortunately not over, remains disastrous for the United States, or rather for the Trump administration.

Absolutely.The Iranian power is strengthened both externally and internally.because there was a mobilization of a large part of the population behind the armed forces, although this was not the case before the war, especially after the January protest movement.There was a reversal of a part of the population, the Iranians are very nationalist and felt a danger for the survival of the country.Many people, for example, lay people, participate every night in these nocturnal gatherings, which have now lasted for 93 days.So every night, people go out into the street, stay in the street until 2 or 3 in the morning, This mobilization is very important for the government.

Tomorrow, for example, is the anniversary of the death of Ayatollah Khamenei in Romania, the founder of the Islamic Republic.There is a 10 -kilometer buffet organized in Tehran, with many people who will participate.and we will have to closely monitor the funerals of the families, because it will be an important moment for the government to show that it benefits from popular support, and at that time we will see how many people will go down to the streets.It will be a very important test.

Indeed, it shows us how the epic failure is consumed.It was predicted by analysts like Tulsi Gabbard, a member of the Trump administration.By the way, Tulsi Gabbard, we remind you, resigned.Of course, she did not want to controversy, she officially resigned because of the state of health.husband's health condition, who has a rare form of cancer.But it is no less true that she resigned and that she no longer participates in the current Trump administration.

She was one of the greatest critics of the war in Iran.I remind you that you are a journalist for a very large number of organizations, including France 24, Lacroix, etc., and that you have been a journalist for nearly 40 years.Also, here is a blog that supports you.Many blogs support you, you are very popular in the media sphere, both mainstream and alternative, thanks to your experience.And I remind you, your YouTube channel.This video will be made in partnership with you.

Siavash Razi News.I really encourage our audience to subscribe to you.Before we move on to the questions, is there a last topic you would like to address, Siavash Razi?

In fact, there are two subjects that are very important for me.In fact, there is a real liberalization of society.We see when we walk in the streets of Tehran, in different neighborhoods, and not only in rich neighborhoods where people are very Westernized.A lot of women, a lot of young girls, were walking around totally in the West without the security forces intervening.We see, for example, I'm going to publish soon, in a few days, a video on collective sports, so men and women mixed, without veils, with short sleeves for women or men.without sleeves, which was totally unimaginable.

So a lot of young people who participate in these collective sports before going to work at 5 a .m.in the big parks of Tehran.But this is also the case in the cities of the province.I interviewed several people In small towns in the province, it's the same thing, we see the same phenomenon.There is a mutation of power and society.

Society is of course ahead of power, but we see that power has accepted this established fact.This is the first thing to follow.The second thing is climate change.

Before talking about climate change, I would like to underline what you just said.Today, it is easier for a woman to walk in the street without a veil.in Iran than in Saudi Arabia.This is something that people do not necessarily understand.It is now easier to walk around Iran without a veil for a woman than in Saudi Arabia.This is an element of information that is quite unexpected when we base ourselves on the previous clichés that you mentioned.

I give you the floor on the question of climate change.

Climate change, really, it's impressive what happened.That is to say that until February 28, Iran has had a drought for 20 years, which has worsened in the last five years.And it continued during the fall and winter until the beginning of the war.And from a week after the start of the war, there has always beenUh, of the situation, of the climate, with intense rains, while the dams were totally empty.Today, three months after the start of the war, the dams in Iran, there are many dams in Iran, are 67 % full, which is considerable.

The lake of Rumiyeh, which was completely dried up, is filled again.A part of this lake was It has been drying for 20 years, it's starting to fill up and it's really impressive.And you can also see it in the sky, the color of the sky is again blue, clear.It's a color that I hadn't seen since I came back to Iran 28 years ago.So a considerable change.It has had an impact on the economy, on agriculture.

So all of this was due to the American radar system, which was all around Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, the Iraqi Kurdistan, which prevented the clouds from arriving on Iran.As a farmer told me, he said that for 20 years, when he was cultivating wheat, without watering, that is, with rainwater, it was all the time at a loss.That is, in each hectare, they harvested between 500 kg and 700 kg of wheat.which is really very little.And today, according to the government's estimates, we are moving to 1 .5 tons, 1 ,500 kilos, which becomes profitable for agriculture.And the forecast for Iran is that this year Iran will be self -sufficient again.

in terms of wheat.Last year we had 9 million tons of wheat harvested and this year we will go to 14 million in less.So that means that it has an effect on agriculture and food self -sufficiency for Iran.

Indeed, we remind you that it was on X that we were able to get the latest information on this subject.We have to admit that even if X has been very criticized, there is still the network owned by Musk, which has been a support of Donald Trump, a little less now.X, for the moment, does not censor these elements.I had displayed, for example, this one, which is written directly in Persian, translated from Persian here by a small Persian account.a serious account with 21 ,000 followers, but which shows us the real changes in water reserves in Iran.These changes have been noticed by many analysts, including non -Iranian analysts.

Siavash Razi, thank you very much.I will take questions from the audience in the next 30 minutes.It was a pleasure to have you on this show.You have enlightened us on many topics.We can perhaps finish, before turning to you, on the issue of peace journalism.I will once again highlight the main principles here.

What would you see for us as an obligation to cover this conflict in order to put an end to it?I think we could particularly talk about or evoke of the Crimean War or the 1870 war, of a neutral intervention.Who is Siavash -Razi considered credible and relatively neutral in this conflict, and who could possibly be credible enough to mediate peaceful efforts?in the region?

Listen, I think that peace, as Donald Trump said, peace can only happen by force, by power.If a country is powerful, inevitably other countries will not go after it in the head.That's the only way.

Now, Siavash Razi, the balance of power has been established.We have just spoken about it.So, assuming, since the problem, we see it with Donald Trump, is both a problem of not losing face, of not finding himself in a position where he must admit defeat, and of course, of detaching himself from a just Buddhism that comes from the Netanyahu administration, which could be modified either in favor of elections in Israel, which is very far from being the case for the moment, but there are supporters, of a disengagement of this war in Israel.There are even many, many more than we believe.Simply the fact of presenting, in particular to the Israelis, this war as existential, and also to present it as existential for Israelis from abroad and for Jews from abroad, who are not necessarily holders of the Israeli passport, but who support, of course, diplomatically and culturally, the State of Israel.The fact of presenting this war as existential, which it is not, there is no existential threat on Israel in the State.

On the other hand, it increases with this war, since we see that Iran has even more reasons now to equip itself with nuclear weapons, even if in itself, the fact that Iran is a nuclear weapon and the weapon is a military nuclear program is not necessarily an existential threat for Israel, but the vast majority of Jews and Israelis would disagree with what I just said.So, assuming that we have a change of leadership in Israel, on the one hand, and on the other hand, that the face is preserved for Donald Trump, now that the balance of power has been established, we can see it well, Who could mediate?this peace so that the United States can get by without losing face.

Listen, I think China could play an important role.It already plays a very important role, because there is a plan that has been presented, a common plan with Pakistan, in five points to put an end to the war.It could be...In my opinion, it is the only country that could intervene to try to ensure that President Trump does not lose face completely.This is the only possibility.But this is a risk for the United States because it will obviously increase China's weight in the world.

And the United States does not want to go in that direction.

What do you think of India?India has actually betrayed Iran at the beginning of this war, since the Iranians were conducting a joint naval -military exercise with India, and that the United States, in particular Pete Exet, the Secretary of State, the US Secretary of State, the Pentagon's boss, had bragged about having struck this deal.There were many casualties.It's a war crime.This ship was disarmed and not equipped.and there was no reason to strike it, and India did not rise up and did not prevent this ship from being hit.

So, of course, relations between India and Iran are bad, but for the global interest and for the interest of peace in the world, maybe Iran could accept that India joins China in this effort for peace, precisely to ensure that it does not lose face to Donald Trump with only a Chinese mediator.

Personally, I don't think so.President Trump even said that it was more interesting to see the ship sink than...There were two hits.There was a first hit, and then the Americans decided to make a second hit, which resulted in... while the sailors were leaving the ship that had been hit.So in a deliberate way, there was this second strike and President Trump rejoiced by saying that it was very interesting to see these sailors killed and not to leave the ship.In fact, the problem is that a part of the Indian population is very pro -Israeli.

We see it on social networks.And so there is a mistrust in relation to Iran, of the Iranian power, in relation to this sympathy of a part of the Indian population towards Israel, in opposition to Pakistan, of course, and in opposition to Muslims in general.And so there is a mistrust towards India, which was a neutral country before.So I don't think that India could play the middleman.

Ok, so maybe we would have Indonesia or Turkey, Turkey is in a complicated situation with Israel.

Or Brazil.

It's a very good idea.I didn't think of it in the BRICS.It's true that the first letter of the BRICS is Brazil.For now, South Africa could not, because it was the one who brought the charge to the International Court of Justice against Israel for the accusations of genocide, but Brazil, which remains significantly on the left with the Lula administration, could be both credible from the point of view of the former non -aligned and at the same time be sufficiently crediblefrom the conflict to be able to be as credible in diplomatic matters.

Absolutely, but first we have to get rid of China.

But China and Brazil could be a good compromise, leaving Russia aside, since it is engaged in Ukraine.Thank you for this tour of the horizon, Siavash Razi, it was exciting.I remind you that your latest book, Carnet de Guerre, in the cover, is soon available.And then your YouTube channel that I display here, Siavash Razi News, all fresh, which has just come out, since you had the courage to get involved on your own channel.You continue to intervene in many media, including Omerta, but not only.And also Tox1, thanks to them, thanks to our Tox1 colleagues, I greet Clément Soudiakova, that I was able to have your contact.

You, of course, continue to intervene on different mainstream media, and it's a good thing to make a link between the PIF and the PAF, the French internet landscape and the French audiovisual landscape.But we salute this channel which is It was a pleasure and I hope we will meet again soon.

I think that Iran will be in the news for a few more years and that will allow us to do other shows with pleasure.

Yes, we really hope so.We hope these news will be positive, always faithful to peaceful journalism.Of course, we didn't only do that tonight, but I wanted to mention it, I wanted to remind you, Camus, you have to imagine six happy IFs.Siavash Razi, thank you very much.I wish you a very good evening today in Iran.

Thank you very much.Thank you.Goodbye.

So, our dear Clavardier, I have noted some of your questions, we will take some more.You can ask your questions now.by putting questions in capital letters in the chat.because several times the CIA had abandoned the Kurds in the region.For the Webox question, yes, what solution?Well, you saw that we gave a few.

foreign foreign of real victories, even if these victories are threatened today, especially in Venezuela.The Trump administration thought it would be a child's play to make a regime change in Iran.Unfortunately, it was not.So, how do you see the end of this war?First of all, we have to allow Donald Trump to keep his face.The problem is that today, the natural rhetoric for Iran is to consume its victory.

That is to say, the Iranian political victory is, for the moment, total.And when we have obtained a political victory, we do not hesitate to assert it.Donald Trump does not hesitate to assert that he has obtained a political victory himself.Why would Iran also hesitate to assert it?And you understand that the problem is the factsince the Guardians of the Revolution are reinforced in Iran, as Siavash Razi explained, and that the Guardians of the Revolution, due to this political victory that they have obtained, have every interest in affirming it, both domestically and in Iran, that is, in Persian -speaking media and in international media.

Why doesn't Iran sink an American building?Good question, Hubert, good story.A lot of people have asked this.From the point of view of the theory of games, it would be a very bad idea, because it would consolidate the American resolution, it would consolidate...You know, Hubert, and you know in the Clavardier, that Iran should be interested in the turning point of the war, which Sylvain Ferreira talked about very well yesterday, to talk about Ukraine, and the center of gravity of the war, foreign foreign foreign So be careful, Trump is not part of the extreme center.The extreme center is the French case.

But in the war in Iran, we see a ratio in the demography of the boomers, two -thirds, one -third, two -thirds for, one -third against.In the boomers who vote Trump, which is a sub -party of the boomer generation, which is not the majority, since the majority of the boomer generation voted Biden, and therefore voted Kamala Harris against Donald Trump.But within the boomers who voted Trump, it's about two -thirds who are for the war in Iran, and one -third who are against.And if ever a military building was hit, foreignIranians, for example a plane carrier, which has already been the case, probably, but not in a critical way.That is to say, we did not really send an American plane carrier.

If it were the case, it would completely reverse the popularity of this war and it would be counterproductive for Iran.So I think that the Guardians of the Revolution, if I know it, also know it.Question from Tyler Dorden, thanks for the reference to Fight Club.Is there a real risk of fuel shortages in Europe?Yes, because the elasticity of hydrocarbons is not linear, that is, it is not simply 20 % equals 20 % of the price.No, it's not like that at all.

When you reach the wall of the stress of the elasticity of supply, demand is completely inelastic, since we need hydrocarbons for almost everything, You have also seen the problem of ancillary gases such as helium, which is an ancillary gas, so it is not a hydrocarbon in itself, but helium is produced at the same time as gas extraction.This is why Algeria is a major producer of helium, since major gas producers such as Qatar and Algeria are generally major producers of helium.And helium, when we hit the inelasticity of demand, it hurts a lot.We end up with medical scanners that no longer work.foreign in Syria.Turkish and Iranian interests were completely opposed in Syria, since Turkey was interested in what Bashar al -Assad was doing.

and Iran not at all.Well, today, after the situation in Syria has changed, Turkish and Iranian interests are converging today, and that, from the point of view of Israeli diplomacy, for a whole bunch of critics of Netanyahu in Israel, is a colossal mistake.Why doesn't Iran publicly say that it has the atomic bomb?Well, we don't know if it has it, we don't know.Of course, there have been attempts, to be which is logical from a mathematical point of view.It's not because Israel does it in a particularly mean way, but because it's the mathematical logic that presides over Israel's choice of nuclear ambiguity.

Maybe Iran could also maintain a level of ambiguity.After the failure in Iran, a success in Cuba, to not leave the phase, very good question.Yes, indeed, Trump could be tempted to switch to Cuba, where the victory is almost guaranteed.And indeed, it would probably be a good way to get out of the situation.Do you still think that Iran is a hidden nuclear country?As far as I'm concerned, I have real doubts in this direction.

Let's take a few more questions and then we'll wrap up.Tomorrow I'll try to do a live with the refractor duck.Is there a lobby in the United States that can balance the pro -war influence of the IPAC?No, there is no lobby in the United States that can balance the pro -war influence of the IPAC.as the IPAC.The IPAC is by far the first lobby in terms of the ability to influence a senator or a member of the Congress.

Will this war be brought to a close?Yes, I answered this question.Thank you.Let's see other questions.Yes, of course, Iran is showing some restraint towards civilian targets, that's for sure.I saw a question about that, that's for sure.

What is China's position on Iran?It supports Iran from a logistical point of view, from a information point of view, from a satellite information point of view.The main Iranian satellite means are Chinese and Russian.China's support for the moment goes in the direction of China's national interests in the region, which of course consists of blocking American interests in the region.So the enemies of my enemies are my friends.Hello, let's talk about the fatwa of the Ayatollah Khomeini, the supreme leader of the Islamic Revolution.

Yes, initially, the Ayatollah Khomeini was against the weapons of mass destruction.This is the reason why Iran did not use them during the Iran -Iraq war.Iraq used gas against Iran, but not Iran.And we remind you that the chemical weapon is also a weapon of mass destruction, so there is not only the atomic weapon at the time.This gives a point of confirmation on the fact that this fatwa would have had substance.Yes, many people said that the Ayatollahs say that the atomic weapon is not considered as halal, as religiously motivated, as legal from the point of view of the Sharia, but it is only a diplomatic posture.

No, they have demonstrated it during the war in Iraq by not using Chinese weapons.It is true that Ayatollah Khomeini had issued a fatwa, a judgment, an Islamic jurisprudence.declaring that the nuclear weapon was not religiously legal.In any case, from the point of view of the black turban, of the Shiite leaders.And this is not the point of view of the guardians of the revolution.This is not the point of view of the body of the guardians of the revolution.

So that's why today we say that the famous regime change that Donald Trump is talking about, in a way, not to lose face by saying, yes, we have made a regime change.The initial regime change was rather to have a kind of liberal open society democracy, with the son of the cat as a sovereign, as a monarch, it was certainly not to have the guardians of the revolution as political forces reinforced in the area.Well, the body of the guardians of the revolution seems to be more pragmatic, that is to say, to be in favor of what Iran equips itself with as a weapon of mass destruction.And that's a real failure that Barack Obama had anticipated, whether we like it or not.Shouldn't Iran tighten its relations with the Arab countries?Yes, the problem is that for the moment, the Arab countries depend entirely on the United States of America for their defense.

So the countries, the members of the Gulf Cooperation Council, except for the sultanate of Oman.The sultanate of Oman plays a very subtle role in this conflict, and for the moment, it perfectly pulls its pin from the game.The Sultan of Oman also depends on the United States for his defense, but this dependence is counterbalanced by the fact that the Sultan of Oman is not belligerent and has very few parties involved in this conflict.He has parties involved in the sense that he has an interestbeing the co -controller of the Dormouse district, but at the same time, Oman does not host as many American weapons, as many American radar sites, etc.And that means that, for the moment, the relations between Iran and the Sultanate of Oman are excellent.

Among the Arab countries, in the sense that they are Arab -speaking, even though, genetically, Algeria is a country that is also an Amazigh, also Berber.the Sultanate of Oman, Egypt, Algeria and of course Yemen.Could France still play a role of mediation?Unfortunately, no, because to play a role of mediation, you have to be credible, and France is not at all credible in the region.Already in the war in Ukraine, France has lost its credibility.France under Chirac, yes, could have been credible, but today, unfortunately, we still have someone named Jean -Noël Barrault at the doorstep.

And someone named Jean -Noël Barrault, who is a clown, concretely, who is not a serious person, can't be credible to mediate in the area, and I regret it.Aboubakar Adamou asks us how Iran, under sanctions, was able to develop such a scientific educational system.The answer is simple.I don't think Africa will be inspired by it.I don't see the African states as a whole, whether it's the Maghreb or the Saharan Africa, being inspired to do case studies, to make blank books,on how to create an educated system of elites under sanctions.

I see very badly the African states being inspired by it.But yes, for example, Venezuela should have been inspired by it.The first country that should have been inspired by the Iranian case was Venezuela, and I regret that it did not.How long can Trump hold?That's a very good question.And when we see the case for the moment, we have weak signals.

We showed it with the inflation of food prices in Thailand and in Southeast Asia in general.And that shows us directly.The resilience shows us directly how the American economy will be impacted sooner or later.For the moment, among the signs of weakness, we also have the sales indices of real estate.That is to say that American real estate, today, for example, in Florida, the selling pressure on real estate has never been so great, even before the 2008 crisis.So there is already a real estate crisis in the United States that is comparable, if not worse, to the 2008 crisis.

It's just that it's not realized.For the moment, in terms of notional losses, the American real estate market is in a catastrophic situation.The same goes for small agricultural operations, which suffer from the price of fertilizers in the United States.For the moment, in terms of notional losses, the Americans are in a very complicated situation.Thank you for your presentation.of your excellent questions.

Thank you to Siavash Razi, despite his little connection and acoustic problems, but we are very happy to have you on this show.Normally, tomorrow, I will receive Johan from the Canard Refractaire.I remind you that the Canard Refractaire is still in a crowdfunding campaign.Contrary to Blast and other alternative media, it does not touch a cent of the state.We must protect their independence.Thank you very much for following this program.

It's always a pleasure to inform you, to remind you of the values of the Munich Charter and the duties of the Munich Charter.And now, of course, to share more citizen journalism with you.

I wish you an excellent evening.