MAGA’s Texas win has one big catch

And I want you to look at this because I think it's one of the most revealing bits of data to come out of last night.So look at Starr County, Texas.It's right there.It sits on the border with Mexico.It's actually the county in the U .S.

with the highest proportion of Hispanic residents in the entire country, according to the 2020 census.Now, Starr County famously flipped to Donald Trump in the last election after more than a century of voting Democratic.It was a huge deal.Donald Trump won Starr County by 15 points.And it was widely and I think correctly seen as evidence of Trump's strength with Hispanic voters in that 2024 election.So if you look just at the percentages of last night's Senate runoff in Starr County for the Republican nomination, you'd say Donald Trump is still dominating, right?

This is Starr County.

His candidate beat Cornyn there by nearly 50 percentage points.But what's that percentage based on?How many Republicans actually turned out to vote in this runoff?Well, virtually none.90 votes in all.That's not a typo.

That's not a mistake.9 -0.90 out of 36 ,000 registered voters in Starr County, in a county where Donald Trump won 9 ,500 votes just two years ago.In fact, in that same county, Starr County, in a single Democratic primary for a local judge back in March, more than 13 ,000 Democrats turned out to vote.If you're doing the math in your head, that's a lot more than 90.Those numbers are why Democrats are feeling, well, let's say relatively optimistic about this being a real race, about the possibility of flipping that Texas Senate seat, and possibly the Senate itself.