Nobody Knows How BIG This Gets...

It's saturday july 25th 2026.It's the 206th day of the year and a serious storm setup is taking aim at the heart of the midwest.Nearly 47 million people from Chicago to Louisville are staring down a monday corridor where storm clusters could organize into damaging wind machines overnight.

So let's jump right into it.46 .8 million people.That's how many of you sit inside the storm prediction center slight risk for monday across the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley.Chicago, Detroit, Indianapolis, Columbus, Louisville, every single one of them is inside of the rift zone.

Now the main threats Monday are going to be damaging winds and large hail.

This is not really a tornado day and I'm not going to hype tornadoes that the setup doesn't support even though there is like some slight potential that there could be a tornado or two.The engine is really a potent disturbance and screaming winds aloft are going to be swinging around the northeast side of that big high parked over the the southern plains that about underneath a surface and that's going to trac all the way down into low a cold front into the Ohio front is really going to b going to slam into a real We're talking about up to of storm fuel out there ac and enough wind shear to storms.Large hail here me to crack windshields.

Dama to 70 mile per hour winds tree lands and put whole neighborhoods in the dark.Now, will it hit your city specifically?Well, everybody in the slight risk here is at play, but the storms will organize into corridors or sections, right?

And not every metro is really going to get clobbered.The most credible area runs from lower Michigan down into Indiana and Ohio, possibly reaching Kentucky and West Virginia by late Monday night.If you do have outdoor plans Monday, anywhere in that corridor, stay flexible and make sure that you have the WeatherWise app on your phone before you walk in.the door because the National Weather Service watches and warnings are going to land right on the map for your exact spot and the lightning layer is going to tell you when it's time to get inside.Okay, my confidence in this setup is currently high.The only thing that I'm not sure about is which cities are exactly going to land under the most organized storms.

That's the biggest question right now.So the next 24 hours or so will decide it.

But again, if you are in Chicago, Louisville or anywhere in between, don't let this day catch you ou you.And for those of yo deeper into it, even tho some flexible movement t the forecast here.

Let's by hour.The day actually monday.We're talking abo already rumbling monday m and the upper Great Lake arrives.Those morning sto wild card to it.They han in the sky might steal fr and lower the ceiling for the later in the day storms.But if the sun breaks out instead, some of those storms can grow into one or more big organized complexes ahead of the surface flow.

That's when this is going to get really serious really quickly.

One detail that really bugs me about trying to forecast this though is that the global models tend to spit these complexes out too far north.Shift one of these south and west and it rides that warm humid corridor straight into Indiana and Ohio.

The best window across the Ohio Valley looks like monday evening into monday night and my honest read on the whole situation here is that upscale growth is the biggest uncertainty whether these clusters organize into a wind machine hinges on what leftover boundaries sunday storms leave behind that same corridor carries a low -end flood risk as well with rain rates over an inch an hour but these storms keep moving so any flooding is probably going to stay localized again michigan indiana ohio set your alerts before your head hits the pillow because the threat can run deep into the overnight as well and here's the thing monday One day isn't even...opening act.Okay, Minneapolis, Milwaukee, Madison, Rockford, Green Bay, you're up first tomorrow.Sunday, in a slight risk covering about 12 billion people, large hail and damaging winds are going to be the main threats and the hatched zones mean that 75 plus mile per hour winds and two inch plus size hail are on the table.Baseball size hailstones are even possible as well with some of these initial supercells.And this is the same Pattern that fuels Monday strong winds aloft over 3 ,000 plus units of storm fuel with dew points in the low to mid 70s air you can Practically drink now there is some bust potential with the Sunday setup as well, and it's not so much the morning storms It's gonna be a problem up here It's gonna be a stout cap or a lid on the atmosphere that could actually keep storms from forming at all So this is an all -or -nothing setup and if no storms form Sunday that actually means that the storms on Monday could be worse so it's gonna be a very a couple of days to watch how this rolls out, especially since we've got all these people out there for the EAA AirVenture in Oshkosh.

You guys are right in the risk zone, so if you're still on the airfield grounds, know where you'd go if storms fire.Southern Minnesota and Wisconsin, keep that phone loud Sunday evening.If storms punch through that cap, they will mean business.Now this system is not going to stop in the Ohio Valley.

By Tuesday, it's going to deepen over the northern mid -Atlantic and drag the severe weather threat east with it.The day four outlook covers about 36 million people.including Philadelphia, Washington, Baltimore, Charlotte, and Raleigh.Damaging winds and torrential downpours are going to be the main hazards as storms fire along cold front with 1 ,500 to 2 ,500 units of storm fuel to work with.Morning storms lingering over New York and Pennsylvania could keep things socked in up north, so the better setup actually looks to be south of the Mason -Dixon line, where the sun gets to work.

The curveball with this one is that the system could close off into a cutoff low, dropping as far south as Pennsylvania, which is unused.

late july and that w up the storm coverage fo watching that very closel watching the fact that t out here could dump one to So plan on some flash fl especially where it's bee and also some general po and stuff in D. C. Down in this all starts with the f We've got a Boeing line o of 75 to 90 MPH, firing n and racing east across so enhanced risk of severe w way more confident in thi The Storm Prediction Cent out and the worst window towards Sioux Falls aroun all the way through midni winds can take down power back roofs and flip anyt So make sure you're not You're on the Sioux Falls.

Make sure that you've got something that can wake you up tonight I know a weather radio alerts on your phone But of course I've got to talk about y 'all call because this is exactly why I made it a dangerous warning could hit your location After you've dozed off tonight, and you want your phone to ring and ring until you're awake.That's exactly what y 'all calls for There's a link in the description if you want to check it out now Let's flip the map because the West has a completely different monster a critical fire weather area covering much of the Pacific Northwest Into the northern Rockies today Reno Spokane.

Yeah Yakima and bend are all i crashing into the teens a per hour wind gusts over b the recipe for explosive worry is central and sout Valley where fast moving can throw down 40 to 60 m with almost no rain but t every strike is a potentia conditions hang around on Montana and from the nor Sierra intothe harney basin as strong winds keep mixing down to the surface you've probably seen some of the images on the internet of the big smoke clouds visible from seattle this is going to continue to be a problem as these uh winds continue and as the bone dry humidity continues to kind of wreak havoc over here so skip the campfires the chain dragging the hot exhausts parked on dry grass skip all that because because one spark could c the eastern Carolinas are tonight with a slight ris as that stalled front flat There's a tropical sponge moisture to wring out one with three to five local over the coast.Some good the drought has been swall where Wilmington picked u there's been almost no st the soil is just drinking push near 10 inches of ra grounds.Patience is runn water over the roads and in the heaviest cells.

Al west.The monsoon keeps risks going over the fou monday, mainly around terra recently soaked ground a biggest weather story in to be a long, brutal hea over the west and locking We've had a lot of heat th 90s to low 100s from Montana to the Dakotas, running 10 to 15 degrees above average, while heat indices top 110 from Texas to the Gulf Coast.The Climate Prediction Center has a high risk of excessive heat for the Southwest, the Great Basin in California on August 1st and 2nd, with desert Southwest highs topping 115.The nights are what's going to make this deadly, okay?

Phoenix sat at 107 degrees at midnight.Its all -time record low of 97 is actually in Jefferson.as well.and the Death Valley are running overnight lows between 90 and 100.This locked in pattern is also expanding dryness fast across the Great Plains and Corn Belt where rapid onset drought is becoming a real concern.When your overnight low is warmer than a comfortable thermostat setting, your body never gets a chance to recover and that's how this quietly turns into a killer.

So check on those neighbors and be safe out there.

Sunday is going to deliver the single best weather in the entire country to the interior valleys of Southern Oregon and Northern California.Salem, Medford, and Oak Ridge all score 92 out of 100 on our nice weather scale.Highs in the low to mid 80s, dew points in the low to mid 50s, so the air is going to feel crisp.

There's going to be nearly 0 % chances of rain and light winds under relatively high and dry pressure systems.

It's going to be the perfect day for the Willamette and Rogue Valleys, so you can hike, you can fire up the grill, or just soak up the sun once the morning clouds mix out by midday.Sunday sits in a sweet spot between these systems.

Sunday's weak front pushes offshore Saturday night, and the next one doesn't really show up until Tuesday.So yeah, get out and enjoy that.Everybody else is going to be dealing with heat, wildfires, damaging winds, flooding.

You guys soak it up over there, okay?And that's pretty much all the weather talk I have for you today.Thank you so much for watching.Make sure you slap a like on this video, subscribe if you haven't already, and I will see you in the next one.Goodbye.